Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.438767 0.563837 0.699202 0.854705 1.026694 1.209596 1.417380
2025-05-25 0.225525 0.379131 0.565895 0.799640 1.076125 1.386078 1.753816
2025-06-01 0.120087 0.269852 0.473404 0.746382 1.085133 1.478168 1.956926
2025-06-08 0.062563 0.202311 0.416832 0.723549 1.119795 1.592104 2.178872
2025-06-15 0.035265 0.168374 0.396768 0.740117 1.196747 1.751176 2.448994
2025-06-22 0.014402 0.130872 0.362693 0.731579 1.237372 1.863018 2.660577
2025-06-29 0.002846 0.096516 0.324732 0.711502 1.258617 1.947794 2.837055
2025-07-06 0.000501 0.087065 0.327709 0.749709 1.356193 2.127009 3.127436
2025-07-13 NaN 0.081522 0.336552 0.795994 1.464265 2.319272 3.433739
2025-07-20 NaN 0.075014 0.341814 0.835927 1.563231 2.499807 3.725660
2025-07-27 NaN 0.077657 0.366521 0.906639 1.704867 2.735000 4.085164
2025-08-03 NaN 0.074847 0.378470 0.956700 1.817756 2.933477 4.399566
2025-08-10 NaN 0.061250 0.365016 0.968122 1.881232 3.074740 4.651620
2025-08-17 NaN 0.036326 0.313939 0.913534 1.849941 3.093356 4.752207
2025-08-24 NaN 0.017804 0.264809 0.855183 1.808555 3.095276 4.828805
2025-08-31 NaN 0.008945 0.237190 0.830970 1.814255 3.157064 4.978758
2025-09-07 NaN 0.005996 0.232442 0.848689 1.881942 3.301024 5.232571
2025-09-14 NaN 0.002364 0.214857 0.839538 1.908033 3.388668 5.414390
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000248 0.192499 0.817937 1.913573 3.447663 5.558949
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000156 0.200178 0.859016 2.016351 3.638746 5.873048
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000169 0.211828 0.908684 2.132683 3.848457 6.211302
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000112 0.220246 0.951462 2.238327 4.043732 6.531176
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000459 0.243931 1.027058 2.395429 4.309297 6.941617